Abstract:
The purpose of this paper is to forecast the pattern of Port Klang cargo
throughput growth and factor that influence the cargo throughput. 2 years
interval and 5 years interval were used in Simple Moving Average model and
Exponential Smoothing with damping factor (α) 0.5, 0.7 and 0.9 were used to
forecast the pattern of cargo throughput. Linear Regression is used to analyse
the factor that influence the cargo throughput. Mean Absolute Percentage
Error (MAPE) were used as accuracy model diagnostic. 2 years interval
Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing with α 0.5 is chosen as
forecasting model based on MAPE. Container cargo is the factor that influence
the most in the growth of cargo throughput.
